Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. (CCEC)
Dividend Opportunity — Ex-Date Friday, February 6, 2026
Trade Timeline
Risk Factors
- •Historical performance of all capture windows is negative: the recommended Buy 7d / Sell 1d strategy has an average return of -2.19% with only a 36.0% win rate across 75 samples.
- •Alternative timing windows are even worse (e.g., Buy 14d / Sell 7d at -3.97% average, Buy 1d / Sell 7d at -4.15% average), showing no robust edge around the ex-date.
- •The dividend amount ($0.15) is only about 0.71% of the share price, while the Average Capture Yield is 0.745% but comes with long Average Recovery Days of 123.9, suggesting price weakness often persists well beyond the capture window.
- •High volatility for capture: 14-day ATR of 3.92% is large relative to the 0.71% dividend, meaning ordinary price swings can easily overwhelm the dividend benefit.
- •The 7- and 14-day gap fill rates are high (85.3%), but the fill often takes time, and the short capture window (exit 1 day after ex-date) does not reliably benefit from that mean reversion.
- •Momentum is only mildly positive (5-day slope 0.065%/day, 20-day 0.032%/day), not strong enough to offset the historically negative event-driven performance.
Action Checklist
- 1.Reassess whether you need exposure to CCEC at all, given the 35/100 Quality Score, Tier 3 status, and LOW confidence flag.
- 2.If you are a long-term dividend investor, prioritize higher-quality names with stronger long-term and quality scores over CCEC.
- 3.If considering a capture, size the position conservatively, recognizing the -2.19% historical average return and 36.0% win rate for the Buy 7d / Sell 1d strategy.
- 4.Monitor price action and volatility into the entry window (~2026-01-30); avoid entering if daily moves approach or exceed the 3.92% ATR relative to the small 0.71% dividend.
- 5.Predefine exit rules (time-based: sell 1 day after ex-date; or price-based: stop-loss and target) and adhere to them regardless of short-term noise.
- 6.Compare this opportunity with other upcoming ex-dividend events that offer better quality scores, higher win rates, and lower volatility before committing capital.
| Strategy | Avg Return | Win Rate | Historical Events |
|---|---|---|---|
Quick CaptureBest Buy 7 days before ex-date, sell 1 day after | -2.19% | 36% | 75 ex-dates |
Buy 14D, Sell 7D After Buy 14 days before ex-date, sell 7 days after | -3.97% | 32% | 75 ex-dates |
Same-Day Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 1 day after | -2.45% | 24% | 75 ex-dates |
Classic Capture Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 7 days after | -4.15% | 21% | 75 ex-dates |
14-Day Hold Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 14 days after | -3.85% | 21% | 75 ex-dates |
* Returns include dividend capture yield plus price change. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
CCEC offers a modest 2.83% forward yield with weak quality signals (Quality Score 35/100, Tier 3, LOW confidence), making it unattractive as a core dividend holding. Historical dividend capture performance is poor across all tested windows, including the suggested Buy 7d / Sell 1d strategy, which averages a -2.19% return with only a 36% win rate, and volatility is high relative to the dividend. Overall, this setup does not present a compelling long-term income or short-term capture opportunity versus alternatives.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.