Eagle Point Income Company Inc. (EIC)

Trade Timeline

Risk Factors

• •Win rate is not dominant: The recommended Buy 7d / Sell 1d strategy has a historical win rate of 67.9% over 78 samples, leaving roughly one-third of trades as losers.
• •Dividend is small relative to volatility: The $0.11 dividend (about 0.97% of the $11.30 price) is modest versus a 14-day ATR of 1.89%, so normal price swings can easily overwhelm the dividend amount.
• •Limited long-term support: Low Quality Score (25/100) and Long-Term Score (25/100) mean the underlying vehicle may not attract sticky long-term capital, increasing the risk of post-dividend drift lower.
• •Moderate volatility: ATR of 1.89% reflects meaningful daily movement, which can both help and hurt short-window capture attempts.
• •Recovery can take time: Average Recovery Days is 28.9, indicating that when price drops around ex-div, it may take about a month to fully recover on average—longer than the quick-capture holding plan.

Action Checklist

• 1.Confirm current price, ex-dividend date (2026-02-09), and dividend amount ($0.11) are unchanged closer to trade date.
• 2.Plan position size assuming this is a speculative, tactical trade – limit to a small portion of total capital due to low quality scores.
• 3.Target entry approximately 7 days before ex-date (around 2026-02-02), ideally on a down or flat day to avoid overpaying amid an ATR of 1.89%.
• 4.Place a predefined exit plan to sell 1 trading day after ex-date (around 2026-02-10), rather than trying to time an exact top.
• 5.Monitor intra-trade price action: if a sharp adverse move dwarfs the 0.97% dividend, consider using a tight stop-loss or reducing size.
• 6.If you miss the 7-day entry window, avoid forcing alternative setups (e.g., Buy 1d / Sell 7d or 14d), which show negative average returns (-0.77% and -1.03%).
• 7.Reassess fundamentals and sector conditions before repeating this capture trade in future cycles, given the low Quality and Long-Term Scores.