Eagle Point Income Company Inc. (EICC)
Dividend Opportunity — Ex-Date Monday, February 9, 2026
14 days until ex-date
Ex-Date
Feb 9, 2026
Dividend
$0.1667
Forward Yield
2.64%
Payment Date
Feb 27, 2026
Opportunity Scores
Tier 3Medium Confidence
Capture Score
52Long-Term Score
0Quality
0Opportunity Rank
64Capture Playbook
Strategy for dividend capture trade
Trade Timeline
Entry
Mon, Feb 2
Target entry approximately 7 calendar days before the 2026-02-09 ex-dividend date (around 2026-02-02), leaning toward entering on a flat-to-positive day given the positive 5-day (0.0439%/day) and 20-day (0.0332%/day) momentum slopes.
Ex-Date
Mon, Feb 9
Dividend locked in
Exit
Tue, Feb 10
Plan to exit 1 trading day after the ex-dividend date (around 2026-02-10), unless price action is severely dislocated versus typical behavior, in which case reassess using the historically strong 7–14 day gap-fill tendency.
Expected Return
+0.52%
Historical Win Rate
100%
Risk Factors
- •Despite a strong capture profile (Expected Return 0.52% and 100.0% historical win rate for Buy 7d / Sell 1d with sample size 20), overall Quality Score is 0/100 and Long-Term Score is 0/100, indicating potentially fragile fundamentals if conditions change.
- •Short-term stats may not fully generalize: the backtest sample size is limited (20 observations for key strategies), and regime shifts or a single adverse event around ex-date can break the pattern.
- •ATR of 0.36% indicates modest daily volatility, but this can spike around macro events or credit-market stress, which could overwhelm the relatively small expected capture (0.52%).
- •Average Recovery Days of 34.2 suggests that if the price drops more than usual around ex-date, capital could be tied up for roughly a month to recover, reducing flexibility.
- •Conflicting signals: strong capture metrics and high 7/14-day gap fill rates (95.0%) contrast sharply with the 0/100 long-term and quality scores, implying that this is more a technical/statistical trade than a fundamentally sound income play.
Action Checklist
- 1.Confirm the ex-dividend date of 2026-02-09 and payment date of 2026-02-27 before trading.
- 2.Decide that your objective is short-term dividend capture, not long-term holding, given the 0/100 quality and long-term scores.
- 3.Plan a Quick Capture trade: target entry roughly 7 days before ex-date (around 2026-02-02), watching for price stability and alignment with the positive 5-day and 20-day momentum slopes.
- 4.Size the position conservatively relative to your portfolio, as the expected capture (~0.52%) is small and fundamentals are weak.
- 5.Set an exit plan to close the position 1 day after ex-date (around 2026-02-10), unless unusual volatility or price dislocation warrants delayed exit.
- 6.Monitor intraday volatility around ex-date, given the 0.36% ATR, and adjust stop levels so that normal noise does not prematurely trigger exits.
- 7.If the post–ex-dividend drop is larger than historical patterns, consider whether to hold for additional days, using the 95.0% 7–14 day gap fill rate and ~34.2 average recovery days as context.
- 8.Avoid converting this into a long-term investment unless new, significantly better quality and coverage data emerges.
Scenario Analysis
| Strategy | Avg Return | Win Rate | Historical Events |
|---|---|---|---|
Quick CaptureBest Buy 7 days before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.52% | 100% | 20 ex-dates |
Buy 14D, Sell 7D After Buy 14 days before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +0.68% | 95% | 20 ex-dates |
Same-Day Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 1 day after | +0.30% | 90% | 20 ex-dates |
14-Day Hold Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 14 days after | +0.28% | 79% | 19 ex-dates |
Classic Capture Buy 1 day before ex-date, sell 7 days after | +0.25% | 70% | 20 ex-dates |
* Returns include dividend capture yield plus price change. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Analysis Summary
EICC appears weak as a long-term dividend holding, with a 0/100 quality and long-term score and only a 2.64% forward yield, suggesting limited compensation for elevated risk. However, past ex-dividend behavior supports a potentially attractive short-term dividend capture: the recommended Quick Capture (buy 7 days before, sell 1 day after ex-date) shows a 0.52% expected return and a 100% historical win rate over 20 samples, aided by positive momentum and moderate volatility.
Historical Capture Performance
Based on past dividend events for EICC
Avg Capture Yield
0.66%
Avg Recovery Days
34.2
7-Day Gap Fill
95%
14-Day Gap Fill
95%
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.