Metrics & Definitions

Understanding the Fair Value Indicator

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fair value indicator

Learn how our Fair Value indicator estimates intrinsic value and identifies undervalued dividend stocks.

Understanding the Fair Value Indicator

The Fair Value indicator estimates a stock's intrinsic value based on its dividend and compares it to the current price. Positive percentages indicate potential undervaluation.

What It Measures

  • Undervaluation %: How much the stock is above/below estimated fair value
  • Fair Value (Yield-Based): Estimated price based on median historical yield
  • P/E Percentile: Where current P/E ranks vs. 5-year history

How to Read the Status

StatusUndervaluationMeaning
🟢 Good≥ +20%Significantly undervalued vs. historical yield
🟡 Neutral-10% to +20%Roughly fair value
🔴 Bad< -10%Overvalued vs. historical yield

How Fair Value Is Calculated

We use the median 5-year yield to estimate what price would give you that same yield today:

Fair Value = Current Annual Dividend ÷ Median 5-Year Yield

What to Do

  • Good: Attractive valuation if dividend is sustainable. Combine with safety checks.
  • Neutral: Fairly priced. Focus on dividend quality and growth for returns.
  • Bad: Price is high relative to historical dividend value. Consider waiting or accepting lower yield.

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